Nick, your chances for the first three are good this winter. However, redpoll is a different story. Last winter there would have been no problem as there were quite a few Common Redpolls around and even a few Hoary Redpolls. Redpolls are what is called an irruptive species meaning some years they come down in good numbers and other years none or only a very few. If you what one bad enough this winter perhaps northern New England may have some. Otherwise you may have to wait until there is another irruption.